Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Avaí beat Icasa with a 22.1% chance and Luverdense beat Paraná with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 1 (before the first match) against those on July 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 31.3% | 59.0% | +27.7 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 30.2% | 51.6% | +21.4 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 26.0% | 4.7% | −21.3 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 45.1% | 24.3% | −20.8 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 34.4% | 15.2% | −19.2 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 8.0% | 24.6% | +16.7 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 20.6% | 34.9% | +14.3 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 39.7% | 53.3% | +13.5 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 22.2% | 9.2% | −13.0 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 24.6% | 37.4% | +12.8 |
