Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: América-RN beat Portuguesa with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 11 (before the first match) against those on August 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceará | Promotion | 21.4% | 69.5% | +48.1 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 22.8% | 65.3% | +42.5 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 59.5% | 98.4% | +38.8 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 26.0% | 61.3% | +35.3 |
| Luverdense | Promotion | 17.9% | 47.1% | +29.2 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 33.4% | 5.2% | −28.2 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 64.6% | 36.5% | −28.1 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 27.3% | 1.6% | −25.7 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 39.1% | 64.5% | +25.4 |
| Ceará | Champion | 3.9% | 29.1% | +25.2 |
