Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on May 4 (before the first match) against those on June 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
CearáPromotion15.9%57.5%+41.6
Vila NovaRelegation50.9%91.0%+40.1
Red Bull BragantinoRelegation13.4%39.2%+25.8
ParanáPromotion24.6%4.2%−20.4
Santa CruzRelegation25.9%5.6%−20.2
LuverdensePromotion18.6%38.7%+20.1
Red Bull BragantinoPromotion22.0%2.6%−19.4
CearáRelegation18.9%0.7%−18.2
CearáChampion2.9%20.6%+17.8
ParanáRelegation11.5%29.3%+17.7
Home 44.4%
Draw 27.7%
Away 27.9%
Home 43.6%
Draw 27.9%
Away 28.5%
Home 53.2%
Draw 25.7%
Away 21.1%
Home 52.6%
Draw 25.8%
Away 21.6%
Home 48.7%
Draw 26.7%
Away 24.6%
Home 48.4%
Draw 26.8%
Away 24.8%
Home 56.0%
Draw 25.1%
Away 18.9%
Home 46.6%
Draw 27.2%
Away 26.2%
Home 43.7%
Draw 27.9%
Away 28.4%
Home 51.3%
Draw 26.1%
Away 22.6%