Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Ceará beat América-RN with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 18 (before the first match) against those on May 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABC | Promotion | 35.0% | 22.6% | −12.4 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 60.5% | 48.9% | −11.6 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 31.6% | 20.4% | −11.2 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 21.8% | 11.4% | −10.4 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 26.4% | 36.4% | +10.0 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 31.8% | 41.5% | +9.7 |
| América-MG | Champion | 31.8% | 41.5% | +9.7 |
| Luverdense | Promotion | 26.1% | 35.8% | +9.7 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 71.1% | 80.8% | +9.6 |
| Joinville | Champion | 21.8% | 12.8% | −9.0 |
