Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: ABC beat América-RN with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 27 (before the first match) against those on May 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-MG | Promotion | 35.7% | 49.4% | +13.7 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 39.9% | 26.6% | −13.4 |
| ABC | Promotion | 22.8% | 35.6% | +12.8 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 27.0% | 39.4% | +12.5 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 25.0% | 36.8% | +11.8 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 17.1% | 28.6% | +11.5 |
| América-RN | Promotion | 20.9% | 10.8% | −10.1 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 16.3% | 25.8% | +9.5 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 17.2% | 7.9% | −9.3 |
| ABC | Relegation | 15.1% | 6.5% | −8.6 |
