Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: América-MG beat Ponte Preta with a 22.0% chance, Avaí beat Santa Cruz with a 22.4% chance, and Atlético-GO beat Sampaio Corrêa with a 22.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 18 (before the first match) against those on November 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-RN | Relegation | 72.7% | 30.8% | −41.8 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 29.2% | 66.3% | +37.1 |
| Ponte Preta | Champion | 27.1% | 12.7% | −14.4 |
| Joinville | Champion | 72.9% | 87.3% | +14.4 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 93.4% | 100% | +6.6 |
| Boa Esporte | Promotion | 5.5% | 0% | −5.4 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 95.1% | >99.9% | +4.9 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 96.7% | 100% | +3.3 |
