Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sampaio Corrêa beat Santa Cruz with a 22.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 15 (before the first match) against those on November 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Icasa | Relegation | 67.6% | 95.1% | +27.5 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 21.0% | 2.4% | −18.6 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 77.9% | 93.4% | +15.5 |
| ABC | Relegation | 10.3% | 0.8% | −9.5 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 8.6% | 0% | −8.6 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 20.7% | 29.2% | +8.4 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 7.6% | 0% | −7.5 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 93.1% | 96.7% | +3.6 |
| Boa Esporte | Promotion | 8.7% | 5.5% | −3.2 |
