Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Vila Nova beat Portuguesa with a 21.3% chance, Red Bull Bragantino beat ABC with a 22.5% chance, and Santa Cruz beat Atlético-GO with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 22 (before the first match) against those on November 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Promotion | <0.1% | 100% | +100.0 |
| América-MG | Promotion | >99.9% | 0% | −100.0 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 30.8% | 100% | +69.2 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 66.3% | 0% | −66.3 |
| Joinville | Champion | 87.3% | 100% | +12.7 |
| Ponte Preta | Champion | 12.7% | 0% | −12.7 |
