Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sampaio Corrêa beat Icasa with a 15.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 20 (before the first match) against those on April 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 46.9% | 22.6% | −24.3 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 20.2% | 35.7% | +15.5 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 31.1% | 45.6% | +14.5 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 13.2% | 26.9% | +13.7 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 30.0% | 16.8% | −13.2 |
| Icasa | Promotion | 23.6% | 11.5% | −12.1 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 25.3% | 37.0% | +11.7 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 37.1% | 25.8% | −11.4 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 5.4% | 15.6% | +10.2 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 10.2% | 20.3% | +10.1 |
