Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Paraná beat Luverdense with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 8 (before the first match) against those on October 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Champion | 48.8% | 32.6% | −16.2 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 18.0% | 5.2% | −12.8 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 57.9% | 68.0% | +10.1 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 93.3% | 86.1% | −7.1 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 17.2% | 23.9% | +6.7 |
| Vasco | Champion | 24.9% | 31.1% | +6.2 |
| Joinville | Champion | 7.9% | 13.3% | +5.4 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 8.6% | 4.3% | −4.3 |
| Boa Esporte | Promotion | 5.7% | 1.7% | −4.0 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 71.3% | 74.9% | +3.6 |
