Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Luverdense beat ABC with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 12 (before the first match) against those on October 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Champion | 32.6% | 51.0% | +18.4 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 68.0% | 82.8% | +14.8 |
| Vasco | Champion | 31.1% | 18.7% | −12.4 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 49.3% | 37.6% | −11.6 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 71.4% | 62.0% | −9.5 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 86.1% | 95.5% | +9.4 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 64.0% | 73.3% | +9.3 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 20.3% | 11.4% | −9.0 |
| Avaí | Champion | 15.3% | 7.6% | −7.7 |
| Joinville | Champion | 13.3% | 19.4% | +6.1 |
