Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, no draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vila Nova beat América-RN with a 17.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 24 (before the first match) against those on September 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-RN | Relegation | 44.6% | 62.0% | +17.4 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 43.3% | 26.6% | −16.7 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 45.1% | 32.5% | −12.6 |
| Joinville | Champion | 27.2% | 16.4% | −10.8 |
| Boa Esporte | Promotion | 27.1% | 16.7% | −10.4 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 64.2% | 74.3% | +10.1 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 77.3% | 85.2% | +8.0 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 83.9% | 76.3% | −7.7 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 77.2% | 84.9% | +7.7 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 79.5% | 71.8% | −7.7 |
