Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 21 (before the first match) against those on September 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 66.4% | 77.2% | +10.9 |
| ABC | Relegation | 17.2% | 7.3% | −9.8 |
| Ponte Preta | Champion | 15.0% | 24.7% | +9.7 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 36.3% | 45.1% | +8.8 |
| Joinville | Champion | 34.7% | 27.2% | −7.5 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 37.6% | 44.6% | +7.0 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 13.2% | 7.0% | −6.2 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 85.5% | 79.5% | −6.0 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 38.1% | 43.3% | +5.2 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 12.2% | 7.1% | −5.1 |
