Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 17 (before the first match) against those on September 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 25.1% | 13.2% | −11.9 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 47.1% | 36.3% | −10.8 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 58.3% | 66.4% | +8.0 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 79.3% | 85.5% | +6.1 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 32.1% | 38.1% | +6.0 |
| Avaí | Champion | 32.4% | 26.6% | −5.7 |
| Joinville | Champion | 29.0% | 34.7% | +5.7 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 62.5% | 67.3% | +4.8 |
| Luverdense | Promotion | 8.7% | 4.6% | −4.1 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 8.5% | 4.7% | −3.8 |
