Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético-GO beat Ponte Preta with a 19.7% chance and Oeste beat América-RN with a 21.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 7 (before the first match) against those on September 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oeste | Relegation | 45.3% | 27.0% | −18.3 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 44.7% | 28.3% | −16.4 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 52.8% | 67.5% | +14.7 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 46.0% | 32.8% | −13.2 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 49.2% | 61.6% | +12.4 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 47.9% | 58.4% | +10.5 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 17.0% | 7.5% | −9.5 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 58.7% | 68.2% | +9.4 |
| Luverdense | Promotion | 19.7% | 11.7% | −8.0 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 20.3% | 28.0% | +7.7 |
