Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Boa Esporte beat Atlético-GO with a 24.0% chance and Vasco beat América-MG with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 31 (before the first match) against those on September 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oeste | Relegation | 61.0% | 45.3% | −15.7 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 59.7% | 46.0% | −13.8 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 45.8% | 59.2% | +13.4 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 45.5% | 58.7% | +13.3 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 60.3% | 47.9% | −12.5 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 33.7% | 44.7% | +11.0 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 48.7% | 59.5% | +10.8 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 66.8% | 76.3% | +9.5 |
| Joinville | Champion | 11.3% | 19.9% | +8.6 |
| Boa Esporte | Promotion | 9.5% | 17.8% | +8.3 |
