Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Paraná beat América-RN with a 24.2% chance and Avaí beat Vasco with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 24 (before the first match) against those on August 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Promotion | 63.6% | 45.8% | −17.8 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 43.9% | 60.6% | +16.7 |
| Vasco | Champion | 22.9% | 11.2% | −11.7 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 61.8% | 50.2% | −11.6 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 77.2% | 66.8% | −10.5 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 38.3% | 48.7% | +10.4 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 50.1% | 60.3% | +10.3 |
| Luverdense | Promotion | 23.4% | 14.3% | −9.1 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 16.9% | 8.4% | −8.5 |
| Avaí | Champion | 11.5% | 19.8% | +8.3 |
