Round 1

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 6 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on April 17 (before the first match) against those on April 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
JoinvillePromotion24.1%43.4%+19.4
Sampaio CorrêaRelegation31.0%46.9%+15.9
PortuguesaPromotion29.7%15.1%−14.6
ParanáPromotion23.0%37.1%+14.2
AvaíRelegation18.5%31.6%+13.1
América-RNPromotion17.1%30.0%+12.9
América-RNRelegation22.5%10.5%−12.0
PortuguesaRelegation10.2%20.6%+10.4
AvaíPromotion19.4%9.9%−9.5
JoinvilleRelegation14.0%4.8%−9.1
Home 47.4%
Draw 27.0%
Away 25.6%
Home 43.0%
Draw 28.1%
Away 29.0%
Home 48.5%
Draw 26.8%
Away 24.8%
Home 50.8%
Draw 26.2%
Away 23.0%
Home 52.8%
Draw 25.8%
Away 21.4%
Home 45.5%
Draw 27.5%
Away 27.1%
Home 47.9%
Draw 26.9%
Away 25.2%
Home 53.3%
Draw 25.7%
Away 21.0%
Home 48.1%
Draw 26.8%
Away 25.0%
Home 54.2%
Draw 25.5%
Away 20.3%