Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sampaio Corrêa beat Atlético-GO with a 23.6% chance and Vila Nova beat ABC with a 14.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 20 (before the first match) against those on August 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-MG | Promotion | 48.2% | 60.1% | +12.0 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 11.9% | 22.3% | +10.4 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 63.9% | 53.6% | −10.3 |
| América-MG | Champion | 13.4% | 21.3% | +7.9 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 18.6% | 10.8% | −7.8 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 33.5% | 26.1% | −7.4 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 54.5% | 61.8% | +7.3 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 23.5% | 16.9% | −6.6 |
| ABC | Promotion | 13.7% | 7.2% | −6.5 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 93.2% | 87.2% | −6.0 |
