Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: ABC beat Ceará with a 20.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 17 (before the first match) against those on August 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Promotion | 32.5% | 47.3% | +14.8 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 61.6% | 49.9% | −11.7 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 22.3% | 33.5% | +11.2 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 62.0% | 73.0% | +10.9 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 74.6% | 63.7% | −10.8 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 37.4% | 48.2% | +10.8 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 65.0% | 54.5% | −10.5 |
| Vasco | Champion | 32.2% | 23.5% | −8.7 |
| Luverdense | Promotion | 33.6% | 25.1% | −8.5 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 31.6% | 23.5% | −8.1 |
