Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Ceará beat Atlético-GO with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 3 (before the first match) against those on August 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceará | Promotion | 57.1% | 70.9% | +13.8 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 59.1% | 47.3% | −11.7 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 31.3% | 19.8% | −11.6 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 43.2% | 53.8% | +10.6 |
| Ceará | Champion | 19.9% | 30.2% | +10.3 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 29.9% | 19.8% | −10.1 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 30.6% | 21.2% | −9.4 |
| América-MG | Champion | 21.7% | 12.3% | −9.3 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 52.4% | 61.7% | +9.3 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 31.4% | 39.9% | +8.5 |
