Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Avaí beat Joinville with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 20 (before the first match) against those on July 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 35.0% | 48.1% | +13.1 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 52.7% | 39.6% | −13.1 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 49.5% | 62.4% | +12.9 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 10.5% | 22.8% | +12.3 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 24.4% | 36.0% | +11.5 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 34.0% | 23.4% | −10.6 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 16.0% | 5.7% | −10.3 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 60.8% | 51.0% | −9.8 |
| Ceará | Champion | 15.5% | 24.9% | +9.4 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 58.9% | 67.1% | +8.3 |
