Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético-GO beat Luverdense with a 20.3% chance and Boa Esporte beat Náutico with a 19.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 16 (before the first match) against those on July 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 40.2% | 25.4% | −14.8 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 48.2% | 60.8% | +12.7 |
| Luverdense | Promotion | 47.6% | 34.9% | −12.6 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 27.4% | 16.0% | −11.4 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 26.9% | 15.6% | −11.3 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 49.2% | 58.9% | +9.7 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 32.7% | 42.0% | +9.3 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 19.3% | 28.0% | +8.7 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 40.9% | 49.5% | +8.6 |
| América-MG | Champion | 13.8% | 22.0% | +8.2 |
