Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Joinville beat Ceará with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 7 (before the first match) against those on July 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceará | Promotion | 57.5% | 40.9% | −16.6 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 56.2% | 40.2% | −16.1 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 43.7% | 59.3% | +15.6 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 39.2% | 49.2% | +10.0 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 34.4% | 44.3% | +9.9 |
| Ceará | Champion | 20.6% | 11.4% | −9.2 |
| ABC | Promotion | 30.9% | 21.9% | −9.0 |
| Luverdense | Promotion | 38.7% | 47.6% | +8.9 |
| Santa Cruz | Promotion | 24.1% | 15.4% | −8.7 |
| Joinville | Champion | 13.5% | 22.0% | +8.6 |
