Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético-GO beat Oeste with a 22.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 16 (before the first match) against those on November 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 89.2% | 49.5% | −39.7 |
| Icasa | Promotion | 56.7% | 21.6% | −35.1 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 20.4% | 50.5% | +30.2 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 13.3% | 41.6% | +28.3 |
| Sport | Promotion | 78.0% | >99.9% | +22.0 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 82.5% | >99.9% | +17.5 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 48.1% | 36.9% | −11.2 |
| ABC | Relegation | 6.3% | 0% | −6.3 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 4.0% | <0.1% | −4.0 |
