Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Joinville beat Ceará with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 23 (before the first match) against those on November 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Promotion | 41.6% | 100% | +58.4 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 49.5% | 0% | −49.5 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 50.5% | 100% | +49.5 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 36.9% | 0% | −36.9 |
| Icasa | Promotion | 21.6% | 0% | −21.5 |
