Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: América-RN beat Avaí with a 21.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 12 (before the first match) against those on November 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABC | Relegation | 32.8% | 6.3% | −26.5 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 64.4% | 82.5% | +18.1 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 30.9% | 48.1% | +17.2 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 30.1% | 13.3% | −16.9 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 73.9% | 89.2% | +15.3 |
| Sport | Promotion | 64.4% | 78.0% | +13.5 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 10.5% | 0.1% | −10.4 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 9.4% | <0.1% | −9.4 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 11.1% | 20.4% | +9.2 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 5.9% | <0.1% | −5.9 |
