Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Chapecoense beat Paraná with a 24.1% chance and Icasa beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 9 (before the first match) against those on November 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Icasa | Promotion | 22.0% | 50.8% | +28.8 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 83.2% | 64.4% | −18.8 |
| ABC | Relegation | 18.0% | 32.8% | +14.8 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 23.8% | 9.4% | −14.4 |
| Sport | Promotion | 77.7% | 64.4% | −13.2 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 85.7% | 73.9% | −11.8 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 16.4% | 5.9% | −10.4 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 20.6% | 30.9% | +10.3 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 20.2% | 30.1% | +9.9 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 8.7% | 1.3% | −7.4 |
