Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Paysandu beat América-MG with a 19.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 22 (before the first match) against those on October 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport | Promotion | 50.7% | 67.8% | +17.1 |
| ABC | Relegation | 23.8% | 40.8% | +17.0 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 80.0% | 64.6% | −15.4 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 20.4% | 6.7% | −13.7 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 33.5% | 22.4% | −11.1 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 27.1% | 18.6% | −8.4 |
| Icasa | Promotion | 12.3% | 19.6% | +7.3 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 23.0% | 17.3% | −5.7 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 3.9% | 9.5% | +5.6 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 9.6% | 14.6% | +5.0 |
