Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Guaratinguetá beat ABC with a 23.2% chance and Joinville beat Figueirense with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 16 (before the first match) against those on October 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Promotion | 34.2% | 58.2% | +24.0 |
| ABC | Relegation | 10.3% | 23.8% | +13.5 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 14.4% | 2.7% | −11.7 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 19.1% | 7.7% | −11.3 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 42.2% | 33.5% | −8.8 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 90.4% | 98.3% | +7.9 |
| Chapecoense | Champion | 9.6% | 1.7% | −7.8 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 92.7% | 86.0% | −6.7 |
| Icasa | Promotion | 18.6% | 12.3% | −6.3 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 3.3% | 9.6% | +6.3 |
