Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Avaí with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 29 (before the first match) against those on November 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Promotion | 62.5% | 32.7% | −29.8 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 53.2% | 69.9% | +16.6 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 17.3% | 3.7% | −13.6 |
| Sport | Promotion | 67.8% | 80.2% | +12.3 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 22.4% | 12.3% | −10.1 |
| Icasa | Promotion | 19.6% | 29.7% | +10.1 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 18.6% | 11.2% | −7.5 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 14.6% | 20.3% | +5.7 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 3.6% | 8.0% | +4.5 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 3.2% | 7.6% | +4.4 |
