Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: América-MG beat Sport with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 13 (before the first match) against those on October 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Promotion | 35.5% | 62.5% | +27.0 |
| ABC | Relegation | 18.7% | 40.8% | +22.1 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 40.7% | 18.6% | −22.0 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 14.7% | 3.2% | −11.5 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 33.8% | 22.4% | −11.4 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 14.5% | 3.6% | −10.9 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 89.6% | 98.6% | +8.9 |
| Chapecoense | Champion | 10.3% | 1.4% | −8.8 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 1.1% | 9.5% | +8.4 |
| Icasa | Promotion | 12.1% | 19.6% | +7.6 |
