Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat São Caetano with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 9 (before the first match) against those on October 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-RN | Relegation | 57.5% | 27.1% | −30.5 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 72.3% | 86.0% | +13.7 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 21.4% | 7.9% | −13.5 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 11.5% | 23.0% | +11.6 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 68.5% | 80.0% | +11.5 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 9.5% | 0.3% | −9.2 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 90.9% | 98.3% | +7.4 |
| Chapecoense | Champion | 8.9% | 1.7% | −7.1 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 51.6% | 58.2% | +6.6 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 8.9% | 2.7% | −6.1 |
