Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: América-MG beat Palmeiras with a 15.7% chance and Chapecoense beat São Caetano with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 29 (before the first match) against those on June 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 46.1% | 28.5% | −17.6 |
| Palmeiras | Promotion | 53.0% | 37.7% | −15.3 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 36.5% | 23.8% | −12.7 |
| ASA | Relegation | 35.5% | 47.6% | +12.1 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 26.7% | 38.6% | +11.9 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 21.7% | 33.0% | +11.3 |
| Chapecoense | Promotion | 23.4% | 33.9% | +10.5 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 27.8% | 38.3% | +10.5 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 27.5% | 18.7% | −8.8 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 19.1% | 10.6% | −8.5 |
