Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Boa Esporte beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 26 (before the first match) against those on May 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Promotion | 34.8% | 53.0% | +18.2 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 42.2% | 27.1% | −15.1 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 33.3% | 47.6% | +14.3 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 22.4% | 36.5% | +14.1 |
| ASA | Relegation | 21.8% | 35.5% | +13.8 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 39.6% | 27.8% | −11.8 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 9.6% | 19.1% | +9.5 |
| ASA | Promotion | 16.6% | 7.3% | −9.3 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 19.6% | 11.6% | −8.1 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 13.8% | 6.9% | −6.9 |
