Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: ASA beat Boa Esporte with a 20.1% chance, Chapecoense beat Figueirense with a 20.4% chance, and América-MG beat Icasa with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 2 (before the first match) against those on June 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Promotion | 54.9% | 37.6% | −17.3 |
| Chapecoense | Promotion | 33.9% | 50.7% | +16.8 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 33.0% | 47.3% | +14.4 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 35.7% | 22.0% | −13.7 |
| ASA | Relegation | 47.6% | 34.1% | −13.5 |
| Sport | Promotion | 18.7% | 31.3% | +12.6 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 23.5% | 34.6% | +11.1 |
| Figueirense | Champion | 21.0% | 10.5% | −10.5 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 38.6% | 28.4% | −10.2 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 23.9% | 14.1% | −9.8 |
