Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: ABC beat Joinville with a 18.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 6 (before the first match) against those on October 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Promotion | 35.2% | 51.6% | +16.4 |
| ABC | Relegation | 36.0% | 20.6% | −15.4 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 57.2% | 72.3% | +15.1 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 54.9% | 68.5% | +13.6 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 69.0% | 57.5% | −11.4 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 12.3% | 21.4% | +9.1 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 22.1% | 13.0% | −9.0 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 42.3% | 34.0% | −8.3 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 58.1% | 49.9% | −8.2 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 14.8% | 8.9% | −5.9 |
