Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 22 (before the first match) against those on September 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Promotion | 63.1% | 78.0% | +14.9 |
| Sport | Promotion | 18.6% | 33.1% | +14.5 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 63.3% | 50.1% | −13.2 |
| ASA | Relegation | 68.8% | 80.4% | +11.6 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 56.4% | 45.7% | −10.7 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 56.9% | 65.5% | +8.5 |
| ABC | Relegation | 80.9% | 73.2% | −7.7 |
| Icasa | Promotion | 18.9% | 13.5% | −5.4 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 8.1% | 5.0% | −3.1 |
