Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Icasa beat América-MG with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 15 (before the first match) against those on October 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABC | Relegation | 87.7% | 23.8% | −63.9 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 71.1% | 9.6% | −61.5 |
| ASA | Relegation | 52.8% | 98.9% | +46.1 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 16.1% | 58.2% | +42.1 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 47.4% | 86.0% | +38.6 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 64.8% | 98.3% | +33.4 |
| Sport | Promotion | 18.3% | 50.7% | +32.4 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 61.7% | 33.5% | −28.3 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 52.8% | 80.0% | +27.2 |
| Chapecoense | Champion | 27.9% | 1.7% | −26.2 |
