Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Oeste beat Paraná with a 17.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 10 (before the first match) against those on September 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joinville | Promotion | 57.3% | 71.1% | +13.9 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 75.2% | 61.7% | −13.5 |
| ASA | Relegation | 39.7% | 52.8% | +13.2 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 25.2% | 12.4% | −12.7 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 41.2% | 52.8% | +11.6 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 50.7% | 39.5% | −11.2 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 57.2% | 46.5% | −10.7 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 37.1% | 47.4% | +10.3 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 29.1% | 20.5% | −8.5 |
| Chapecoense | Champion | 21.1% | 27.9% | +6.8 |
