Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: América-MG beat Figueirense with a 22.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 8 (before the first match) against those on September 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Champion | 56.4% | 69.3% | +12.9 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 45.4% | 57.3% | +11.9 |
| ASA | Relegation | 28.4% | 39.7% | +11.2 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 10.0% | 20.1% | +10.1 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 47.5% | 57.2% | +9.8 |
| Chapecoense | Champion | 30.2% | 21.1% | −9.1 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 46.0% | 37.1% | −8.9 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 48.9% | 41.2% | −7.7 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 32.7% | 25.2% | −7.5 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 36.1% | 29.1% | −7.0 |
