Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Icasa beat Sport with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 4 (before the first match) against those on September 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-RN | Relegation | 61.5% | 47.5% | −14.0 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 32.1% | 45.4% | +13.2 |
| Sport | Promotion | 31.1% | 18.4% | −12.6 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 36.8% | 47.5% | +10.7 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 37.7% | 46.0% | +8.3 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 16.7% | 9.1% | −7.6 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 21.1% | 14.2% | −6.9 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 49.7% | 56.4% | +6.7 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 14.2% | 7.9% | −6.3 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 73.3% | 79.6% | +6.2 |
