Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Chapecoense beat Boa Esporte with a 21.5% chance and Paraná beat ABC with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 23 (before the first match) against those on May 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 31.9% | 11.5% | −20.4 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 24.5% | 42.2% | +17.7 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 23.6% | 39.6% | +16.1 |
| Chapecoense | Promotion | 12.2% | 27.9% | +15.7 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 23.8% | 39.3% | +15.5 |
| ABC | Relegation | 21.9% | 35.8% | +13.8 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 20.0% | 33.8% | +13.8 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 28.5% | 17.3% | −11.3 |
| Sport | Promotion | 30.3% | 19.8% | −10.5 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 17.9% | 7.7% | −10.1 |
