Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Icasa beat Paysandu with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 18 (before the first match) against those on August 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA | Relegation | 44.8% | 28.9% | −15.9 |
| Sport | Promotion | 58.5% | 47.7% | −10.8 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 30.4% | 19.6% | −10.8 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 38.8% | 48.8% | +9.9 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 52.5% | 62.3% | +9.8 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 20.3% | 12.1% | −8.2 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 13.9% | 6.3% | −7.6 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 61.9% | 55.6% | −6.2 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 32.0% | 38.2% | +6.2 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 27.2% | 32.9% | +5.7 |
