Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Boa Esporte beat São Caetano with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 14 (before the first match) against those on August 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Icasa | Relegation | 25.4% | 13.9% | −11.5 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 24.2% | 34.5% | +10.4 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 36.8% | 27.2% | −9.6 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 52.3% | 61.9% | +9.6 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 22.9% | 32.0% | +9.1 |
| Chapecoense | Champion | 36.5% | 28.1% | −8.4 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 13.5% | 21.6% | +8.1 |
| Sport | Promotion | 51.5% | 58.5% | +7.1 |
| ABC | Relegation | 83.6% | 77.1% | −6.5 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 19.8% | 13.4% | −6.4 |
