Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Icasa beat Chapecoense with a 17.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 25 (before the first match) against those on September 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 38.7% | 25.8% | −12.9 |
| ASA | Relegation | 28.9% | 17.0% | −11.9 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 24.7% | 35.8% | +11.0 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 46.2% | 55.4% | +9.2 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 32.9% | 42.0% | +9.0 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 19.6% | 10.6% | −9.0 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 38.2% | 46.4% | +8.3 |
| Sport | Promotion | 47.7% | 40.1% | −7.6 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 39.3% | 46.8% | +7.5 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 16.8% | 10.3% | −6.5 |
