Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Boa Esporte beat Joinville with a 18.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 28 (before the first match) against those on July 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-MG | Promotion | 22.6% | 35.0% | +12.4 |
| ASA | Relegation | 39.0% | 51.3% | +12.3 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 22.6% | 34.1% | +11.5 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 35.9% | 24.7% | −11.3 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 41.0% | 31.4% | −9.6 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 24.2% | 33.7% | +9.5 |
| Chapecoense | Champion | 38.4% | 29.1% | −9.3 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 28.1% | 19.1% | −9.0 |
| Sport | Promotion | 61.3% | 52.6% | −8.7 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 28.3% | 36.9% | +8.6 |
