Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: América-RN beat Atlético-GO with a 18.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 21 (before the first match) against those on July 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-RN | Relegation | 55.1% | 41.0% | −14.1 |
| ABC | Relegation | 74.9% | 61.9% | −13.0 |
| ASA | Relegation | 50.5% | 39.0% | −11.5 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 29.7% | 40.8% | +11.1 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 32.3% | 42.4% | +10.1 |
| Sport | Promotion | 51.5% | 61.3% | +9.7 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 18.9% | 28.1% | +9.2 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 24.7% | 33.9% | +9.2 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 33.1% | 24.2% | −9.0 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 44.6% | 35.9% | −8.6 |
