Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: ASA beat Oeste with a 20.2% chance and Chapecoense beat Sport with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 31 (before the first match) against those on August 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA | Relegation | 51.3% | 36.7% | −14.6 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 34.5% | 48.8% | +14.4 |
| Sport | Promotion | 52.6% | 39.9% | −12.6 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 21.3% | 33.1% | +11.8 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 36.9% | 25.9% | −11.0 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 28.7% | 18.1% | −10.6 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 32.3% | 42.2% | +10.0 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 33.7% | 24.2% | −9.5 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 36.0% | 27.1% | −8.9 |
| ABC | Relegation | 70.3% | 78.8% | +8.5 |
