Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Oeste beat Icasa with a 21.7% chance and Guaratinguetá beat São Caetano with a 17.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 14 (before the first match) against those on August 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Champion | 21.9% | 57.4% | +35.5 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 46.3% | 13.4% | −32.9 |
| Palmeiras | Promotion | 64.8% | 97.4% | +32.6 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 50.9% | 22.0% | −28.9 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 24.4% | 52.8% | +28.4 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 30.8% | 2.6% | −28.2 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 8.8% | 35.2% | +26.4 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 17.7% | 42.5% | +24.8 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 17.2% | 38.4% | +21.2 |
| Chapecoense | Promotion | 74.5% | 94.2% | +19.7 |
